After week 5/2026 in the NFL, the Green Bay Packers recovered impressively from their offensive line slop and beat one of the hottest teams of the past two weeks, the Chicago Bears with 31:7. Thus their playoff chances rose by almost 39%. Elsewhere in the NFC, the Seattle Seahawks dropped to 41.1% after a disputed loss to the yet undefeated San Francisco 49ers whose playoff chances are at the highst level calculated at 98%(!).
In the AFC, after the second loss in a row, the Las Vegas Raiders dropped by 24.2%, whereas the New York Jets climbed 17.8% after their second win of the season.
The Los Angeles Chargers are left with a chance of 0.8% after their fifth lost in a row.
Results after week 5: NFL Monte Carlo Playoff Ranking Simulation .
The simulator in version 1.2.2 now displays more info in the tiebreaker tooltips, explaining better why one team is ranked above another team.